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Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

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The current plunge in oil prices will likely negatively affect plug-in and hybrid vehicle sales in the short term; automakers such as BMW are already warning of lower sales of plug-in vehicles given the market context. Anticipated price of oil and forecast plug-in sales. Source: Lux Research. gallon to about $2.1/gallon.

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Toyota cumulative global hybrid sales pass 5M, nearly 2M in US

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Cumulative global sales of Toyota Motor Corporation’s (TMC’s) hybrid vehicles—including plug-in hybrids— topped the 5 million unit mark as of 31 March 2013, reaching 5.125 million units. TMS forecasts that about one-third of those will be sold in the United States. Click to enlarge. Click to enlarge.

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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Key developments in the transportation sector that they note include: Positive for gasoline demand: Strong Chinese car growth in 2010, particularly in the first half of the year, with vehicle sales up 30% year-on-year (YoY) through the first eleven months of 2010. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth.

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Toyota introducing new powertrain units based on TNGA; transmissions, engine, hybrid system, 4WD

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liter hybrid system; and new 4WD systems—one for gasoline-engined cars, one for hybrids—based on the Toyota New Global Architecture (TNGA). liter Direct-injection, Inline 4-cylinder Gasoline Engine. liter gasoline vehicle and hybrid vehicle engines achieve world-leading thermal efficiencies of 40% and 41% respectively.

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Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

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(Reflecting the current difficulties in forecasting, Anderman, who publishes an annual market forecast for the sector, said he decided not to produce the 2009 report. Dividing that forecast in to application segments—micro-, mild-, full-, and plug-in hybrids; mini-electric (e.g., By 2015, he suggests, full hybrids (e.g.,

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Toyota unveils new TNGA-based engines and transmissions and improved hybrid systems; deployment begins in 2017

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To enhance fundamental vehicle performance in terms of running, turning and stopping, it initiated a comprehensive review centered on vehicle platforms and is now, since the release of the fourth-generation Prius in 2015, expanding the use of new platforms throughout its product lineup. mph) and approximately 20% better fuel economy.

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Frost &: Sullivan: Three Phases for Green Cars in China

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Hybrids running on both electricity and gasoline, on the other hand, appear to be gaining momentum. Hybrids—especially plug-in hybrids—ill help the public to have confidence to transit from hybrids to completely battery powered cars in the future. The first hybrid in China, the Toyota Prius, was introduced in 2006.