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Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

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The PODA model is a machine-learning-based model to project the US gasoline demand using COVID-19 pandemic data, government policies and demographic information. The Mobility Dynamic Index Forecast Module identifies the changes in travel mobility caused by the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic and government orders.

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EIA forecasts 2023 global production of liquid fuels to exceed 101 MMb/d for first time

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Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its forecast for the 2023 Brent crude oil price by 2.5% from its previous forecast. EIA expects the Brent crude oil spot price to average $85 per barrel in 2023, $3 per barrel higher than its March forecast. Despite OPEC+ announcing it would cut crude oil production by 1.2

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that retail gasoline prices will average $3.84 After adjusting for inflation, this summer’s forecast national average price would mark the highest retail gasoline and diesel prices since 2014. gal and the average diesel price surpassed $5.00/gal. gal in September.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 million barrels per day in 2023—200,000 barrels per day more than in its July forecast. EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023. million b/d, with 1.2

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IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

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A sudden drop in miles traveled by car in the US triggered by wide-spread social isolation measures will have immediate ramifications for gasoline demand. IHS Markit analysis finds that US gasoline demand could fall by as much as 4.1 The four-week average US gasoline demand for the week ending 6 March 2020 was 9.1 million units.

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EIA projects global conventional gasoline and diesel LDV fleet will peak in 2038

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In the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2021 , released earlier this month, the EIA forecast that the global light-duty vehicle (LDV) fleet will grow from 1.31 billion vehicles in 2020 to 2.21 billion vehicles by 2050. of the global LDV fleet in 2020 to 31% in 2050, reaching 672 million vehicles.

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EIA forecast of 2014 US gasoline use has risen 2 billion gallons (1.6%) in past 10 months

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The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) short-term forecasts of US gasoline consumption, which cover the current and upcoming calendar year, have risen 1.6% The latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) expects 2014 gasoline consumption to be 8.82 over the past year. million barrels per day (135.2 billion gallons).

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