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EIA STEO projects higher US crude production, increases in travel and gasoline demand

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In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US crude oil production, which averaged an estimated 8.9 That level is higher than originally forecast, exceeding the previous record level of 9.6 For summer 2017, EIA forecasts motor gasoline consumption to average 9.5

Gasoline 150
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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Energy consumption by light-duty vehicles in the United States, AEO2013 and AEO2014, 1995-2040 (quadrillion Btu). As a result, annual increases in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in LDVs average 0.9% New vehicle sales shares are generally similar in AEO2014 and AEO2013 but with moderate variation. quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1

Oil 290
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BP Energy Outlook 2030 sees emerging economies leading energy growth to 2030; global CO2 emissions from energy well above IEA 450 scenario

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The forecast’s base case points to primary energy use growing by nearly 40% over the next twenty years, with 93% of the growth coming from non-OECD (Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development) countries. The region’s total demand for oil and other liquids peaked in 2005 and will be back at roughly the level of 1990 by 2030.

Energy 210
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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020 150
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BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

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” also sees steady adoption of on-shore wind and electric vehicle technologies, but suggests that off-shore wind and carbon capture and sequestration look likely to fade or decline. Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost.

Solar 295
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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

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Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010. Unconventional vehicle sales. Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

Gas 199
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Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

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A new study by researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder projects the emission impacts of the widespread introduction of inexpensive and efficient electric vehicles into the US light duty vehicle (LDV) sector. Among their findings: Gasoline vehicles dominate in the BAU scenario for the entire time horizon.

Emissions 150