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Today’s Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020

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As oil prices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. With this kind of impending discrepancy between supply and demand, the industry needs to start looking for new sources of oil, and quickly. by Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com.

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The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

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Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields , development of greenfields , and exploration for new resources.

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BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

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The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

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Study estimates fuel economy improvements to US light-duty vehicles from 1975–2018 saved 2T gallons of fuel, 17B tons of CO2

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gasoline demand would have put upward pressure on world oil prices. They added indirect rebound effects via income and world oil prices to the calculations because, in principle these could have non-trivial impacts on fuel savings. First, had fuel economy not improved, the higher level of U.S. Greene, Charles B.

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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

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EIA projects increases in global energy consumption and emissions through 2050

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that, absent significant changes in policy or technology, world energy consumption will grow by nearly 50% between 2020 and 2050. Oil and natural gas production will continue to grow, mainly to support increasing energy consumption in developing Asian economies.

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Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

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They found that under the reference infection scenario, US gasoline demand grows slowly after a quick rebound in May, and is unlikely to recover to a non-pandemic level prior to October 2020. Therefore, beyond the immediate economic responses, the longer-term impact on the US economy may persist well beyond 2020.

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