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The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

Green Car Congress

Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. In fact, we have been highlighting this threat to the energy industry in articles since 2015, for example here , here , here and here.) The first is that at present EVs do not yet outperform ICEVs comprehensively.

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$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

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The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.

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Opinion: Consumers winning with low oil prices, for now

Green Car Congress

Lest we be too quick to forget whence we came, America is now 9-months into lower gasoline prices, which started their swoon the week of June 30, 2015 from a lofty national average just under $3.70, tumbling almost every subsequent week before bottoming and bouncing from $2.02 the end of January, according to gasbuddy.com.

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Navigant forecasts global sales of light-duty stop-start vehicles to grow from 19M in 2015 to 59 million by 2024

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In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices.

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BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

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This would be almost 90 times the equivalent figure for 2015, when EV sales are estimated to have been 462,000, some 60% up on 2014. The research estimates that the growth of EVs will mean they represent a quarter of the cars on the road by that date, displacing 13 million barrels per day of crude oil but using 1,900 TWh of electricity.

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More Job Losses Coming To US Shale

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With the recently concluded nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 countries, oil prices have already started heading downward on sentiments that Iran’s crude oil supply would further contribute to the already rising global supply glut. oil sector is likely to witness a lot more layoffs than we have seen so far?

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US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2015, the industry did not break even. He estimates that OPEC’s cuts could succeed in pushing oil prices sustainably up to $55 per barrel.