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EIA expects US motor fuel consumption to increase this summer, but remain below 2019 levels

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EIA also forecasts the Brent crude oil price will average $64 per barrel this summer, a 78% increase from last summer’s average of $36 per barrel. That price increase paired with an increase in gasoline and diesel demand will likely increase the cost of regular gasoline and diesel fuel this summer. MMBtu in 2020 to $3.31/MMBtu

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IEA: global energy efficiency progress drops to slowest rate since start of decade

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China continued to implement policies designed to shift households and businesses from coal to gas boilers, mainly for air quality reasons. Oil represented the largest share of final demand, at around 41%, but demand growth slowed to 1.5% In 2018, higher oil prices helped dampen demand for road transport fuels.

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EIA STEO projects higher US crude production, increases in travel and gasoline demand

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For summer 2017, EIA forecasts motor gasoline consumption to average 9.5 High oil and coal production also could contribute to diesel consumption growth, EIA notes. Increases in oil drilling activity leads to higher consumption of distillate fuel, which is used to operate and transport drilling rigs.

Gasoline 150
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EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

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Similar to how ethanol is currently blended into motor gasoline in the United States, methanol is blended into gasoline in China. About two-thirds of China’s methanol feedstock is produced from coal and the remainder from coking gas (a by-product of steel production) and natural gas.

2000 150
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Biosyncrude Gasification Process Could Produce Motor Fuel at Cost of Around $3/gallon

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A crude oil price of US$100/bbl results in an approximate cost of €0.56/L gallon US) without tax for conventional motor fuel. A substitution of the present 2008 global motor fuel consumption of 2 Gtoe/a would therefore require a biomass harvest of 4 Gtoe/a. With ±30% estimate error, this is between €0.56 per liter (US$2.72-5.03/gallon

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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020 150
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US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

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World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006 150