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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Gasoline prices are also influenced by gasoline demand relative to gasoline supply.

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US average retail gasoline prices ended 2017 lower than they started

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US regular retail gasoline prices averaged $2.72 per gallon (gal) in 2018, 30 cents/gal (13%) higher than in 2017 and 57 cents/gal higher than in 2016. In 5 of the 10 cities for which EIA collects weekly retail price data, gasoline prices exceeded $3.00/gal gal at least once in 2018. gal to $2.91/gal

Gasoline 236
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EIA: US retail diesel prices increase to >$6 per gallon in the Northeast; nearly equal to California

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Retail diesel prices in these regions are nearly equal to California’s average of $6.47/gal, gal, according to EIA’s Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update. Prices of distillate fuels change with the price of crude oil and with developments specific to distillate product markets. Diesel fuel is a type of distillate fuel.

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IEA forecasts global oil demand to reach 101.6 mb/d in 2023; non-OECD countries lead expansion

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While higher prices and a weaker economic outlook are moderating consumption increases, a resurgent China will drive gains next year, with growth accelerating from 1.8 Non-OPEC+ is set to lead world supply growth through next year, adding 1.9 mb below the 2017-2021 average. mb/d of supply in 2022 and 1.8 mb/d and 1.9

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EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

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Source: EIA and Argus Media group, China Methanol to Energy Study , January 2017. Methanol or its derivative products can be added to fuels such as gasoline and liquefied petroleum gases (LPG). Similar to how ethanol is currently blended into motor gasoline in the United States, methanol is blended into gasoline in China.

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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

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Saudis Expand Price War Downstream

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As if being the world’s biggest exporter of oil was not enough, the desert kingdom is now looking to conquer the refining sector as it has quickly become the fourth largest refiner in the world. With Saudi Arabia's refined fuel contributing to the global supply glut, what will be its impact on the refining markets especially those in Asia?