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Study finds CO2 emissions trading more effective path to automotive CO2 reduction in Europe than tailpipe standards

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The model also includes representation of fleet turnover, and opportunities for fuel use and emissions abatement, including representation of electric vehicles. Emissions trading or a carbon tax is going to achieve their emissions goals at the lowest possible cost to society. —Sergey Paltsev.

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BCG study finds conventional automotive technologies have high CO2 reduction potential at lower cost; stiff competition for electric cars

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Advanced combustion technologies alone could reduce CO 2 tailpipe emissions by 40% from current average levels for new-vehicle fleets of 250 to 270 grams per kilometer (g/km) in the United States, 150 to 170 g/km in Europe, 130 to 140 g/km in Japan, and 200 to 215g/km in China, according to the analysis. Source: BCG. Click to enlarge.

CO2 246
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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

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In addition, although many experts say that the solution to our energy and climate problems is sending the correct price signals to industry and consumers, the transport sector’s behavior is highly inelastic in that it does not change significantly in response to changes in fuel prices, at least in the range that is politically acceptable.

2018 257
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MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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The report addresses topics related to the evolution of vehicle technology and its deployment, the development of alternative fuels and energy sources, the impacts of driver behavior, and the implications of all of these factors on future GHG emissions in the United States, Europe, China, and Japan.

MIT 150