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The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

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Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. In fact, we have been highlighting this threat to the energy industry in articles since 2015, for example here , here , here and here.) by Andreas de Vries and Dr. Salman Ghouri for Oilprice.com. Since (non-U.S.

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$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

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The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.

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BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

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This would be almost 90 times the equivalent figure for 2015, when EV sales are estimated to have been 462,000, some 60% up on 2014. The research estimates that the growth of EVs will mean they represent a quarter of the cars on the road by that date, displacing 13 million barrels per day of crude oil but using 1,900 TWh of electricity.

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Navigant forecasts global annual natural gas vehicle sales to reach 3.9M in 2025, up 62.5% from 2015

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million vehicles in 2015 to 3.9 between 2015 and 2025. Due to the incremental costs of NGVs, limited fueling infrastructure, reduced utility, and progress on competitive electrification technology, Navigant expects only modest LD NGV demand growth in North America. million in 2025. million, accounting for 2.6% of all LDVs.

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IHS Markit: US oil production growth heading for a major slowdown, as capital discipline and weak prices play out

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The combination of closed capital markets and weak prices are pulling cash out of the system. Investors are imposing capital discipline on E&P’s by pushing down equity prices and pushing up the cost of capital on debt markets. It all represents the strongest headwinds for shale producers since the oil price collapse in 2015.

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Sasol bails on $13-$15B US GTL project, divests from Canadian shale; no new greenfield GTL

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In January 2015 Sasol announced it was delaying a final investment decision on the proposed project near Lake Charles, Louisiana to conserve cash in response to lower oil prices. The estimated cost of the project ranges between $13 billion and $15 billion.

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US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2015, the industry did not break even. He estimates that OPEC’s cuts could succeed in pushing oil prices sustainably up to $55 per barrel.