2012, Cost, Gasoline-Electric and Oil Prices

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric

EIA STEO projects higher US crude production, increases in travel and gasoline demand

Green Car Congress

APRIL 11, 2017

For summer 2017, EIA forecasts motor gasoline consumption to average 9.5 EIA expects that domestic refinery production, including gasoline blendstock output, will be about 20,000 b/d lower this summer than last summer. of total gasoline consumption. For all of 2017, the forecast average price for regular gasoline is $2.39/gal,

Gasoline

Gasoline Gasoline-Electric Production Oil

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1 from 2012 to 2040, compared to 1.2% The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. l/100 km) in 2012 to 37.2 l/100 km) in 2012 to 37.2

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). Similarly, the PHEV-40 with a $14,000 battery pack would cost about $18,100 more.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Domestic oil production will rise to 7.5 Motor gasoline consumption will be less than previously estimated.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Electric Cars in the United States: A New Model with Forecasts to 2030” was written by Thomas Becker, a Ph.D.

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010. Industrial natural gas demand recovers, reversing recent trend.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 1, 2014

The earlier 2011 Final EIS was developed contemporaneously with the start of strong growth in domestic light crude oil supply from tight oil formations, such as those formations found in North Dakota’s Bakken region. Domestic production of crude oil has increased significantly, from approximately 5.5 million bpd in 2012 and 7.5

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Nebraska Oil Montana

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Green Car Congress

JULY 19, 2012

Building on LCFS policies already adopted in Europe, British Columbia, and California, the researchers looked at potential costs and benefits of reducing the carbon intensity of transportation fuels by 10 to 15 percent by 2030. Set a target of reducing the carbon intensity of gasoline and diesel by 10 to 15 percent by 2030.

Carbon

Carbon Oil-Sands Standards Design

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

It’ll be mostly driven by the cost of gas. CEO Carlos Ghosn is spending big money to make electric vehicles in high volumes — and soon. 2, Ghosn will unveil the first of three electric models in three vehicle segments that he plans to sell by 2013. government will cover some of the costs. That’s a given.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

EV Driven

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

EIA STEO projects higher US crude production, increases in travel and gasoline demand

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Nissan’s Big Gamble

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