2011, Cost, Oil Prices and Tax

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Shale gas offsets declines in other US supply to meet. Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

Such economic benefits could be realized earlier through effective policies which reduce first mover costs in the short term and promote rapid take-up once non-ICE vehicle price premiums reduce to levels that make them affordable to. The analysis is based on central forecasts of oil price, electricity. emissions.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

US DOE progress report says 1M plug-ins by 2015 ambitious but achievable; not likely to be constrained by production capacity

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 8, 2011

Production capacity must be established, and technology, vehicle cost and infrastructure barriers must be addressed to achieve large-scale market introduction. Estimated US supply of PEVs from 2011-2015. and model 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015. Fisker Karma EREV. Fisker Nina EREV. Ford Focus EV. Earlier post.).

2015

2015 Plug-in Tax Credit Plug

RAND reports suggest US DoD use less petroleum fuel to deal with high prices, not count on alternatives

Green Car Congress

JUNE 20, 2012

From a cost perspective, the potential of alternative fuels is of limited, if any value, according to the lead report written by James Bartis, a RAND senior policy researcher. Alternative liquid fuels do not offer DoD a way to appreciably reduce fuel costs. Could oil production peak after 2050? —Bartis 2012.

Price

Price Oil-Sands Turkey Fuel

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

2011-25), recognizing that the transportation electrification process will evolve in stages based on the learning that occurs in the years and decades ahead. However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g.,

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. There is significant potential for improvement in agriculture, particularly given the historic advances made with genetic modification (GM) of crops to obtain desired characteristics, increase yield and reduce harvesting and processing costs.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 1, 2014

The analysis in the Final Supplemental EIS builds on the Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement released on 1 March 2013 ( earlier post ) as well as the documents released in 2011 as part of the previous Keystone XL Pipeline application. That portion of the pipeline has already been built.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Nebraska Oil Montana

Global investment in renewable power reached $270.2B in 2014, ~17% up from 2013; biofuel investment fell 8% to 10-year low

Green Car Congress

APRIL 6, 2015

billion set in 2011. A continuing sharp decline in technology costs—particularly in solar but also in wind—meant that every dollar invested in renewable energy bought significantly more generating capacity in 2014. billion, up 7% on the year but well below its all-time high reached in 2011. The US was second at $38.3

2014

2014 Renewable 2013 Wind

RAC Foundation: 830,000 households in UK spend at least 27% of their income on running a car; “transport poverty”

Green Car Congress

MARCH 7, 2013

Of a total weekly expenditure of £167 (US$250), those in the poorest car-owning households see £44 (US$66) go on vehicle-related purchasing and operating costs. In November 2012 the Office for National Statistics published the Living Costs and Food Survey for 2011.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Cars Price

Study details viable pathway to develop sustainable aviation biofuels industry in Pacific Northwest; hydroprocessing of natural oils seen as the most immediate opportunity

Green Car Congress

MAY 25, 2011

In 2011, ASTM approval for the use of renewable jet fuel derived from hydroprocessing is moving into the final stages. Additional process steps needed to cleave the hydrocarbons into jet range could amount to as much as 30-40 percent higher cost of production for renewable jet compared to. renewable diesel. Standard 2 (RFS2) Program.

Oil

Oil Industrial Industry Renewable

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Green Car Congress

JULY 19, 2012

Building on LCFS policies already adopted in Europe, British Columbia, and California, the researchers looked at potential costs and benefits of reducing the carbon intensity of transportation fuels by 10 to 15 percent by 2030. All of this helps achieve LCFS targets in the most cost-effective manner.

Carbon

Carbon Oil-Sands Standards Design

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

As part of the solution framework, the Israeli government will provide tax incentives to customers, Renault will supply the electric vehicles, and Project Better Place will construct and operate an Electric Recharge Grid across the entire country. Electric vehicles will be available for customers in 2011. SZ (1) 6753.T SZ (1) 6753.T

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

US DOE progress report says 1M plug-ins by 2015 ambitious but achievable; not likely to be constrained by production capacity

RAND reports suggest US DoD use less petroleum fuel to deal with high prices, not count on alternatives

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Global investment in renewable power reached $270.2B in 2014, ~17% up from 2013; biofuel investment fell 8% to 10-year low

RAC Foundation: 830,000 households in UK spend at least 27% of their income on running a car; “transport poverty”

Study details viable pathway to develop sustainable aviation biofuels industry in Pacific Northwest; hydroprocessing of natural oils seen as the most immediate opportunity

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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