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IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

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The magnitude of gasoline demand decline will be much greater than the impact of the 2008 recession and could be further protracted depending on how effective social distancing measures are at controlling the spread of the COVID-19 virus. during the global recession in 2008/2009. IHS Markit forecasts 2020 US auto sales to be 14.4

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EIA: high prices for natural gas this winter as global consumption remains high and inventories low

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According to EIA’s September 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) , the US natural gas spot price at the Henry Hub will continue to climb this winter, reaching a monthly average of $9.10 That price will be the highest inflation-adjusted monthly average price since 2008. per million British thermal units in January 2023.

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Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

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The current plunge in oil prices will likely negatively affect plug-in and hybrid vehicle sales in the short term; automakers such as BMW are already warning of lower sales of plug-in vehicles given the market context. Anticipated price of oil and forecast plug-in sales. Lux on the price of oil.

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New UC Davis market-based sustainability forecasting approach concludes supplanting gasoline and diesel with renewable fuels could take 131 years

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At the current pace of research and development, replacing gasoline and diesel with renewable fuel alternatives could take some 131 years, according to a new University of California, Davis, study using a new sustainability forecasting approach based on market expectations. The forecast was published online 8 Nov. —Deb Niemeier.

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EIA Estimates 2.1% Growth in Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in US in 2010; Still Below 1999-2008 Levels

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However, even with increases in 2010 and 2011, projected CO 2 emissions in 2011 are lower than annual emissions from 1999 through 2008. EIA projects that world oil consumption will grow by 1.5 million bbl/d in 2011, similar to the forecast of last month. US crude oil production averaged 5.32 per gallon last summer.

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth.

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IHS Markit: global oil demand still growing in the short term despite increasing focus on EVs

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Short-term oil demand is still growing strong and will continue to do so through the end of 2020 despite the market’s increasing focus on electric vehicles and the forecasted future plateau in oil demand, according to new analysis from IHS Markit, a global business information provider. Source: IHS Markit 2018.

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