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Belfer Center Brief Urges Higher, Stable Energy Prices to Achieve Long-Term Energy Policy Objectives

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The US government must place an initial price on US greenhouse-gas emissions, either through a cap-and-trade mechanism or a tax. A tax has the advantages of predictability and being simple to implement quickly. Oil security policy. If the price later rose above $90, the tax would disappear.

Energy 150
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Norweign Drivers switch to Electric Cars

EV Report

Some are still not yet sure to make a plunge in purchase. In comparison with Norway, a country that is considered to be an unofficial leader in Electric Vehicles, around 40 percent of vehicles sold are electric vehicles and there are thousands of drivers who are on a waiting list to purchase the latest electric vehicles.

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AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

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scenarios, and the sensitivity of the model to particular factors, the analysis reveals areas where intervention may be warranted: The capital costs associated with vehicle purchase, in relation to the costs for conventional vehicles; Supply constraints in the Australian market; and. range and higher fuel prices make EVs more competitive.

PHEV 210
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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. ” The team suggests that this may be the last extension for the credit.

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

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They assessed purchaser technology choice for new vehicles on a cost-effectiveness basis using net present value (NPV) as a decision criterion, with parameters chosen to take account of factors such as consumer myopia with regard to fuel cost savings. R&D as above, plus a €3000/vehicle purchase subsidy for fuel cell electric vehicles.

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Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

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National programs encouraging the growth of the PEV sector include the establishment of aggressive goals, subsidies for EV purchasers, research and development support and demonstration projects, tax incentives, regulation and standardization, and public education programs.

Asia 236
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UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

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In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. The high rate of adoption is driven by the low purchase price and operating costs of electric cars with switchable batteries.