Forecast, Oil Prices and Personal

Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

Green Car Congress

JULY 18, 2020

The Mobility Dynamic Index Forecast Module identifies the changes in travel mobility caused by the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic and government orders. An effective forecast or estimate of the pandemic impacts could help people to well prepare and navigate around unknown risks. —Ou et al.

Gasoline

Gasoline Motor Motors Motoring

IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

Green Car Congress

MARCH 27, 2020

Further, according to the latest IHS Markit forecasts, the global auto industry will exerience an unprecedented and almost instant stalling of demand in 2020, with global auto sales forecast to plummet more than 12% from 2019 to 78.8 million units for 2020, with light vehicle sales forecast to post 22.4 million units.

Gasoline

Gasoline 2020 Gasoline-Electric 2008

Navigant forecasts global medium- and heavy-duty alt powertrain sales to exceed 820K units in 2026

Green Car Congress

JULY 5, 2016

According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%. Medium- and heavy-trucks represent 4.3% of vehicles in the US, drive 9.3%

Global

Global Sale North America Oil Prices

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Electric Cars in the United States: A New Model with Forecasts to 2030” was written by Thomas Becker, a Ph.D.

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

Shortly after releasing the Roadmap, the Coalition commissioned the Interindustry Forecasting Project at the University of Maryland and Keybridge Research to study the long-term economic effects of their policy proposals. Oil Imports. US crude oil and petroleum product imports would fall sharply, by 3.2 Global Demand for Oil.

Grid

Grid Vehicles 2008 Oil

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

Personal air travel (billion seat-miles) grows by an average of 0.7% In developing its projections, the EIA implemented a new approach to forecasting VMT, based on an analysis of VMT by age cohorts and the aging of the driving population over the course of the projection. quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 2.7 quadrillion Btu in 2040.

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

KPMG study identifies 10 sustainability “megaforces” with accelerating impacts on business; imperative of sustainability changing the automotive business radically

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 15, 2012

The world is too uncertain and too complex to rely on linear forecasts; therefore, business leaders and policy makers should prepare for the unexpected. High oil prices continue to affect consumer behavior, and concerns about climate change and reliance on oil are likely to increasingly shape policy.

Climate Change

Climate Change Water Climate Global

EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 10, 2014

The potential for growth in demand for liquid fuels is focused on the emerging economies of China, India, and the Middle East, while liquid fuels demand in the United States, Europe, and other regions with well-established oil markets seems to have peaked. per year, as the mature economies react to sustained high fuel prices.

Asia

Asia Transportation Oil-Sands Oil Prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

According to the forecast, unconventional vehicles will represent more than 40% of US light-duty vehicle sales in 2035. quadrillion Btu projected in the AEO2010 Reference case, due to relatively lower disposable personal income. In 2035, the average real price of crude oil in the Reference case is $125 per barrel in 2009 dollars.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

White House: OPEC+ oil production increases “simply not enough”

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 12, 2021

On the same day as the statement from the Biden White House, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) noted that in its August Short-Term Energy Outlook , it forecast larger than previously expected world petroleum inventory draws in 2021 and larger inventory builds in 2022. million b/d—20,000 b/d less than we forecast in the July STEO.

Oil

Oil Production North Dakota Montana

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

1) Nurture My Body (1) OESX (1) OIL ETN (1) OTCBB:PPRW (1) Oasys (1) Ocean Dead Zones (1) PLX Devices (1) PNE3.DE cleantech (1) smart growth (1) social media (1) social responsibility (1) solar charger (1) solar forecast (1) solar heating (1) solar thermal (1) solutions (1) sound system (1) splitting water. (1) SZ (1) 6753.T

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

Navigant forecasts global medium- and heavy-duty alt powertrain sales to exceed 820K units in 2026

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

KPMG study identifies 10 sustainability “megaforces” with accelerating impacts on business; imperative of sustainability changing the automotive business radically

EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

White House: OPEC+ oil production increases “simply not enough”

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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