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Opinion: Everyone Is Guessing When It Comes To Oil Prices

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Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oil prices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.

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Sasol bails on $13-$15B US GTL project, divests from Canadian shale; no new greenfield GTL

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At the company’s Capital Markets Day 2017 in Johannesburg, South Africa, Sasol management said that the company will no longer pursue its proposed ) project in the US ( earlier post ) and furthermore will not invest in additional greenfields gas-to-liquids (GTL) projects.

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Global investment in renewable power reached $270.2B in 2014, ~17% up from 2013; biofuel investment fell 8% to 10-year low

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Additional highlights of the 9 th annual Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2015 report include: China saw by far the biggest renewable energy investments in 2014—a record $83.3 billion) and South Africa ($5.5 billion, up 39% from 2013. The US was second at $38.3 Investment in developing countries, at $131.3

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Strong Dollar Could Cap Oil Prices

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dollar poses an obstacle to further gains in oil prices. As Reuters points out , in dollar terms the price of Brent oil has climbed 9 percent this year, but in yuan terms oil is now nearly 14 percent more expensive. The problem for many emerging markets is that oil prices have been going up at the same time.