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Opinion: Everyone Is Guessing When It Comes To Oil Prices

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Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oil prices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.

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Sasol bails on $13-$15B US GTL project, divests from Canadian shale; no new greenfield GTL

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At the company’s Capital Markets Day 2017 in Johannesburg, South Africa, Sasol management said that the company will no longer pursue its proposed ) project in the US ( earlier post ) and furthermore will not invest in additional greenfields gas-to-liquids (GTL) projects.

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Global investment in renewable power reached $270.2B in 2014, ~17% up from 2013; biofuel investment fell 8% to 10-year low

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billion) and South Africa ($5.5 Another challenge was, at first sight, the impact of the 50%-plus collapse in the oil price in the second half of last year. Investment in developing countries, at $131.3 billion, up just 3% on the year. Additional to China, Brazil ($7.6 billion), India ($7.4

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Strong Dollar Could Cap Oil Prices

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dollar poses an obstacle to further gains in oil prices. As Reuters points out , in dollar terms the price of Brent oil has climbed 9 percent this year, but in yuan terms oil is now nearly 14 percent more expensive. The problem for many emerging markets is that oil prices have been going up at the same time.

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Bank of America: Oil Demand Growth to Hit Zero Within a Decade, EVs the Culprit

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“I fully anticipate we’re going to keep a lot of pressure on that cobalt production,” Ted Miller, head of energy storage strategy and research at Ford, said at a mining event in South Africa. That would alter oil demand forecasts, but in complicated ways. The EV market is also rife with uncertainty.

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