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The 5 Countries That Could Push Oil Prices Up

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Oil prices appear to be stuck in the $50s per barrel, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t serious supply risks to the market. An unexpected disruption could occur at any moment, as has happened in the past, leading to a sudden and sharp jump in prices. The danger to Iran is a return of U.S. by Nick Cunningham for Oilprice.com.

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Saudis Expand Price War Downstream

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In June 2015, Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.564 million barrels a day, a record level. The gross refining margin is nothing but the difference between the value of the refined products and price of the crude oil. In case of Saudi Arabia, the price of crude oil would be extremely low. per barrel in first quarter of 2015).

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Opinion: How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

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However, OPEC has been in the line of fire from the western world in light of its stance of not reducing the production levels of its member nations (excluding Iran). With the decline of average annual crude prices, OPEC earned around $730 billion in net oil export revenues in 2014 (Source: EIA), a big decline of 11% from its previous year.

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Opinion: Is Russia Plotting To Bring Down OPEC?

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Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ). in 2015 and 2016 respectively). in 2015 and 2016 respectively).

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Opinion: The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits

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Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. million barrels per day (mb/d) in April 2015.

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Harvard Kennedy School researcher forecasts sharp increase in world oil production capacity and risk of price collapse

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Such an increase in capacity could prompt a plunge or even a collapse in oil prices, he suggests. Only four of the current major oil producing countries (more than 1 mbpd of production capacity) face a net reduction of their production capacity by 2020: Norway, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and Iran.

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Opinion: OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Oil Strategy?

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Despite low oil prices, Saudi Arabia is maintaining its investment in its oil industry. oil analyst cited in this article, who has tracked oil companies’ budgets for many years, estimates that Aramco and its Kuwaiti and UAE counterparts will increase their investment in oil exploration and production in 2015 by 4.5 percent to $38.1

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