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The 5 Countries That Could Push Oil Prices Up

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Oil prices appear to be stuck in the $50s per barrel, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t serious supply risks to the market. An unexpected disruption could occur at any moment, as has happened in the past, leading to a sudden and sharp jump in prices. The threat of an outage will carry more weight as the oil market tightens.

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Opinion: The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits

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Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. million barrels per day (mb/d) in April 2015.

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Opinion: How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

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However, OPEC has been in the line of fire from the western world in light of its stance of not reducing the production levels of its member nations (excluding Iran). With the decline of average annual crude prices, OPEC earned around $730 billion in net oil export revenues in 2014 (Source: EIA), a big decline of 11% from its previous year.

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More Job Losses Coming To US Shale

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With the recently concluded nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 countries, oil prices have already started heading downward on sentiments that Iran’s crude oil supply would further contribute to the already rising global supply glut. oil sector is likely to witness a lot more layoffs than we have seen so far?

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Saudis Expand Price War Downstream

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The undisputed king of oil and gas is making some moves that could change the face of the global refining sector. In June 2015, Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.564 million barrels a day, a record level. The gross refining margin is nothing but the difference between the value of the refined products and price of the crude oil.

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Opinion: Is Russia Plotting To Bring Down OPEC?

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Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ). in 2015 and 2016 respectively). in 2015 and 2016 respectively).

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Harvard Kennedy School researcher forecasts sharp increase in world oil production capacity and risk of price collapse

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Oil production capacity is surging in the United States and several other countries at such a fast pace that global oil output capacity could grow by nearly 20% from the current 93 million barrels per day to 110.6 Such an increase in capacity could prompt a plunge or even a collapse in oil prices, he suggests.

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