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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

The US Energy Information Administration released its Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) Reference case (the Early Release ), which highlights a growth in total US energy production that exceeds growth in total US energy consumption through 2040. Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. Transportation sector gasoline demand declines.

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Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Green Car Congress

The Q1 2013 index (top) shows that the 7 top automotive nations have seen their competitive positions shift since 2012 (bottom). Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. Source: Roland Berger. Click to enlarge.

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Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

They adapted cost and performance projections for LDV technologies from the National Research Council (2013) optimistic case. The Boulder team’s BAU reference scenario was unmodified from the 2014 EPA US9R database, including EPA’s efficiency and cost estimates for future gasoline ICEV, HEV, PHEV, BEV, and ethanol vehicles.

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Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Two companies, Amyris and LS9, are planning to break ground on commercial plants in 2011, with production starting by 2013. The ability of the grid to withstand PHEV penetration rates will further vary by country. Controlled charging.

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Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

It’s interesting to speculate regarding the relative market share of the EV in relation to the PHEV. 2, Ghosn will unveil the first of three electric models in three vehicle segments that he plans to sell by 2013. Pricing isn’t set. Oil vs. electrons. I’m guessing close to 50/50. That’s a given.

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