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IHS Automotive forecasts global production of plug-in vehicles to rise by 67% this year

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Global electric vehicle production forecast for 2014. Driven by tighter emission standards in Europe, worldwide production of plug-in electric vehicles(PEVs)—including both battery-electric (BEV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) models—will increase by 67% this year, according to IHS Automotive, driven by Polk. Click to enlarge.

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Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecasts plug-in electric vehicles could account for up to 9% of US auto sales in 2020 and 22% in 2030

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In the short term, price will be the most significant limitation to the uptake of both plug-in hybrid vehicles like the GM Volt and fully electric vehicles such as the Nissan Leaf, BNEF said. The BNEF forecast is based on first identifying the addressable market for plug-in vehicles—i.e., Last week, J.D. Earlier post.)

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Navigant: N. American PEV sales to hit almost 200K units this year; ~62% growth y-o-y

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In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) sales in the US and Canada in 2016 will near 200,000 unit sales, growing by around 62% year-over-year. Navigant further expects significant growth in the North American PEV market over the next few years.

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SFU researchers find promise for plug-in vehicles in Canada, but need for increased supply and policy support

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PEV new market share scenario forecasts (for passenger vehicles in British Columbia). Most PEV Pioneer respondents owned either the Nissan Leaf (46%), Chevrolet Volt (24%), or Tesla Model S (10%). Median “driving days” varied across owners of the Nissan Leaf (37 km), the Chevrolet Volt (45 km) and the Tesla (39 km).

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Eaton launches eMobility business; to invest $500M in new technologies

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Power systems include electric vehicle (EV) transmissions for a variety of medium- and heavy-duty applications, as well as a 48-volt regenerative accessory drive system for heavy-duty trucks. eMobility was formed by combining products, expertise and global manufacturing capabilities from Eaton’s Electrical and Vehicle businesses.

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What Does GM’s “30 New EVs By 2025” Promise Mean for the US Market?

EV Adoption

As you will see in a minute, with the passing of a year and perhaps becoming a bit wiser, I’ve reduced my forecasts a fair amount for various models (although I’m comparing US and Canada to just a new US-only forecast). Before diving in to forecasting GM’s future sales, let’s take a look at historical sales.

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Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

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(Reflecting the current difficulties in forecasting, Anderman, who publishes an annual market forecast for the sector, said he decided not to produce the 2009 report. Dividing that forecast in to application segments—micro-, mild-, full-, and plug-in hybrids; mini-electric (e.g., PHEVs and EREVs require $7/gallon.

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