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The 5 Countries That Could Push Oil Prices Up

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Oil prices appear to be stuck in the $50s per barrel, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t serious supply risks to the market. An unexpected disruption could occur at any moment, as has happened in the past, leading to a sudden and sharp jump in prices. Link to original article: [link]. by Nick Cunningham for Oilprice.com.

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Opinion: The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits

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Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com.

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Opinion: Who Will Be Left Standing At The End Of The Oil War?

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Breakeven prices are hard to pin down, and harder yet because they fluctuate. OPEC governments downsize their budgets, cut social spending and put big projects on hold to lower the breakeven price. It’s probably more concerned about regaining the market share it lost under sanctions than it is about low prices.

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US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. By the third quarter, oil prices had climbed back to above $40 and traded at around $50 per barrel for some time, replenishing some lost revenue. He estimates that OPEC’s cuts could succeed in pushing oil prices sustainably up to $55 per barrel.

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Opinion: Is Russia Plotting To Bring Down OPEC?

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Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ). percent of GDP in 2014. Natural gas data from Gazprom). billion respectively).

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Oil Prices Running Out Of Reasons To Rally

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Oil prices faltered at the start of the second week of the year, as fears set in about a rapid rebound in US shale production. The gains in the rig count come even as oil prices have held steady in the mid- to low-$50s per barrel. The pace and magnitude of each trend will ultimately drive oil prices one way or the other.

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Increase in US rig count will not cap oil prices

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The impact of rising oil prices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oil prices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.