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Supply Crunch Or Oil Glut: Investment Banks Can’t Agree

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This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oil price forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks. Beyond 2017, the impact of a collapse in longer-cycle conventional investment over 2014-16 begins to be felt.

Oil 150
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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Some other key findings of the AEO2014 Reference case include: Low natural gas prices boost natural gas-intensive industries. Industrial shipments are expected to grow at 3.0% Bulk chemicals and metals-based durables account for much of the increased growth in industrial shipments. Pipeline exports to Canada grow by 1.2%

Oil 290
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Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil.

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IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

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The 450 Scenario works back from the international goal of limiting the long-term increase in the global mean temperature to two degrees Celsius (2 °C) above pre-industrial levels, in order to trace a plausible pathway to that goal. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035.

Oil 247