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IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

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IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 For the APAC region in 2015, IHS forecasts that China’s economic growth will decelerate further, to 6.5% However, IHS Automotive analysts still expect light vehicle sales in China to grow by 7% in 2015 to 25.2 million, an increase of 2.4% North America.

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Opinion: How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

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The EIA even predicts that OPEC’s net oil exports (excluding Iran) could fall to as low as $380 billion in 2015. With the huge reduction in its revenues and growing discomfort among its members such as Venezuela, Libya and Nigeria over its current production levels, is OPEC really getting weaker? Nigeria’s dilemma.

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IEA: record oil output from US, Brazil, Canada and Norway to keep global markets well supplied

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The oil industry has yet to recover from an unprecedented two-year drop in investment in 2015-2016, and the IEA sees little-to-no increase in upstream spending outside of the United States in 2017 and 2018. In Venezuela, oil production has fallen by more than half in the past 20 years, and declines are set to accelerate.

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Strong Dollar Could Cap Oil Prices

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China’s central bank has also taken the opportunity to loosen its grip over the yuan, which will save it from having to blow huge sums of reserves to keep the currency fixed, as it did during the summer of 2015. The oil supply outages in Venezuela, Libya and Iran could yet drive oil prices much higher. Of course, the U.S.

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Opinion: Oil Market ShowdownCan Russia Outlast The Saudis?

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Venezuela, an OPEC member, has even proposed an emergency summit meeting. Both, it would seem, have incentive to do so, as each has lost over $100 billion in crude revenues in 2015—and Russia bears the extra burden of U.S. Their suffering has led some to call for a change in strategy to “balance” the market and boost prices.

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Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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CME Brent oil futures project continuity: as of August 18, 2015, CME Brent futures projected the price remaining below $60/bbl until June 2017. Interestingly, also, the Saudis increased their share of OPEC average daily output in the first half of 2015 over 2014 average daily volume—and their share of average daily global output.

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Opinion: Is Russia Plotting To Bring Down OPEC?

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Energy is the foundation of Russia, its economy, its government, and its political system. According to the IMF’s 2015 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report , published August 3, oil and natural gas exports constituted 65 percent of exports, 52 percent of the Federal government budget, and 14.5 billion respectively).

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