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Updated Roland Berger Li-ion study forecasts auto Li-ion battery market of more than US$9B by 2015; massive overcapacity and market consolidation

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In light of recently presented or announced vehicle models with electric, hybrid or plug-in-hybrid drives (xEV), Roland Berger experts expect the global LiB market to grow from US$1.5 These same players will dominate the light vehicle market in 2015 with fairly similar percentage shares, according to the report.

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Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

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Dividing that forecast in to application segments—micro-, mild-, full-, and plug-in hybrids; mini-electric (e.g., the Prius) will represent the top Li-ion business opportunity from a dollar value perspective, followed by moderate hybrids and light electric vehicles (bikes and scooters), particularly in Asia.

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ICCT: ongoing cost reductions in full- and mild-hybrid systems could bring them into consumer mainstream by 2025

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Also shown on the graph are 2017 cost estimates for the P2 (light blue) and BAS (red) systems, plus the mild hybrid cost estimate range from Valeo (red circle). This system excels in optimizing engine efficiency during city driving, the paper notes, and is also easily adaptable to plug-in operation.

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