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Next 10 report finds California will meet or exceed original target of 1.5M ZEVs by 2025

Green Car Congress

The report shows that projected global ZEV adoption from 2015 to 2039 (based on the BNEF 2017 forecast) may follow an s-curve, similar to that of smartphone adoption in the US from 2005 to 2015. However, the report also identifies some areas that could either decelerate or accelerate the growth of ZEV sales.

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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

Green Car Congress

In other words, the automakers still have to meet the fleet-based emissions requirements through their sales mix. Europe has gasoline taxes over $4 per gallon and still finds the need to adopt aggressive performance standards for cars to reduce GHGs and oil use. LVMs, IVMs, SVMs.

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