Lobbyists Estimate Billions in Fines If New Fuel Economy Rules Adopted

Matthew Guy
by Matthew Guy

A letter from talking heads at an outfit called the American Automotive Policy Council outlines what it estimates billions of dollars in fines could be levied at companies like General Motors and Stellantis if a government proposal to hike fuel economy standards through 2032 is adopted.


Reuters is reporting the concerns were sent to the U.S. Energy Department last week, citing “alarming” expected penalties for companies not meeting proposed Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) requirements. In a nutshell, the DOE is seeking to revise how it calculates petroleum-equivalent fuel economy ratings for electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids under CAFE. Currently known as MPGe, efficiency numbers for these machines use a byzantine morass of values for national electricity, petroleum generation, distribution efficiency, and even driving patterns.


Proposed rules would change these calculations and likely saddle EVs and PHEVs with MPGe values far below the digits they garner today. Examples cited by Reuters suggest machines like the Chrysler Pacifica plug-in hybrid could fall from 88.2 MPGe to 59.5 MPGe, potentially putting companies in a bind if they are relying on these vehicles to boost fleet numbers. Automakers tend to buy credits or pay fines if they cannot meet CAFE requirements.


Without delving into too much of their math, the American Automotive Policy Council is suggesting GM could be on the hook for $6.5 billion under the new rules, while the bill at Stellantis would be somewhere in the neighborhood of $3.0 billion. Companies like Ford and VW could also get dinged for about a billion bucks, apparently.


If you’re wondering, the AAPC bills itself as AAPC is an association based in Washington, D.C. which helps American Automakers deliver on commitments by representing Ford, GM, and Stellantis on “common public policy interests” at the federal and international levels. In broader terms, going to bat for them when the gubmint wants to change something. Matt Blunt is the group’s president and a former governor of Missouri.


[Image: Siripatv/Shutterstock]


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Matthew Guy
Matthew Guy

Matthew buys, sells, fixes, & races cars. As a human index of auto & auction knowledge, he is fond of making money and offering loud opinions.

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6 of 19 comments
  • Dukeisduke Dukeisduke on Oct 03, 2023

    Meanwhile, the Automotive Alliance for Innovation, that represents the Big 3, blasted NHTSA's CAFE proposal, stating it "exceeds maximum feasibility", and will cost the automakers $14b in fines between 2027 and 2032.


    NHTSA's reaction: Lol, just build more EVs, you silly gooses.


    What happens if consumers revolt, won't buy EVs, and hold on to their old cars instead?

    • See 3 previous
    • 28-Cars-Later 28-Cars-Later on Oct 05, 2023

      @Lou

      Too early to tell, but Ford may not make it based on it's current BEV missteps.


      "Oh and science just stopped functioning?"

      That happened in 2020, did someone turn it back on?


  • 28-Cars-Later 28-Cars-Later on Oct 05, 2023

    "Reuters is reporting the concerns were sent to the U.S. Energy Department last week, citing “alarming” expected penalties for companies not meeting proposed Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) requirements. In a nutshell, the DOE is seeking to revise how it calculates petroleum-equivalent fuel economy ratings for electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids under CAFE. Currently known as MPGe, efficiency numbers for these machines use a byzantine morass of values for national electricity, petroleum generation, distribution efficiency, and even driving patterns."


    Its hard to keep track but didn't some unelected technocracy already decree the CAFE standards for 2024ish to be 49mpg? So now we're going to go full retard for 2030ish and tinker with our CAFE formula while simultaneously going to I think 58mpg? I have a better plan, you're all fired.

  • IBx1 Any "cloud" hardware (cloud is just someone else's computer) that gets mandated into e-waste like this should have its software open-sourced by law so it can continue to be used at the owner's choice.If you have one of these and they don't give you a refund, issue chargebacks for as many months of your subscription as will add up to the cost of the device.
  • Zerofoo This is my worry with ALL in-car technology, including tech provided by auto OEMs. What happens when the manufacturer of your car decides not to provide updates or repair parts for the giant tablet stuck to your dashboard that runs your HVAC controls? This is a way different problem than the manufacturer opening up the CAD files for the water pump in your car to the aftermarket.
  • Carson D Has the energy storage fire in San Diego burned itself out yet?
  • JMII I think most are missing the point. This is not to power your house, the way I read it the concept is store electrons when production of them is not in demand, IE: over night. Then when everyone walks up and turns on the blender, coffee maker, toaster, TV, etc and electrons are suddenly in high demand you can sell them back from the storage location which is your EV just sitting in the garage. This way the grid is not overwhelmed. It could work, you would be paid to let someone "borrow" your electrons at peak until you could recharge during downtime. Due to surge / demand pricing you would buy low and sell high. I see this working best for people working from home or accessing a plug at work. After all your vehicle spends 90% of its time parked doing nothing and going nowhere. Why not get paid for that idle time? A simple app would could be programmed to cut off the transfer at a predetermined level, lets 30-50% charge so you could still drive home.The lack of outside the box thinkers on this site is getting depressing. Everything regarding EVs is always the worst idea ever 🙄
  • 1995 SC It runs Linux. Why brick it? Just let the open source community have at it.
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