Oil Prices Running Out Of Reasons To Rally

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Oil prices faltered at the start of the second week of the year, as fears set in about a rapid rebound in US shale production. For the better part of two months, optimism surrounding the OPEC deal has buoyed oil prices, but bullish sentiment from speculators are showing early signs of abating, raising the possibility that the oil rally is running out of steam. The gains in the rig count come even as oil prices have held steady in the mid- to low-$50s per barrel.

2017 60

Oil price tumbles after OPEC releases 2015 forecast

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The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC’s latest forecast. OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 Add to that a new report from the US government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA), which also cut its 2015 forecast for growth in global oil demand by 240,000 barrels per day, down to 880,000 barrels per day.

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With oil prices low, early signs of a pullback in drilling activity

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With oil prices low and showing no sign of an immediate rebound, the industry is beginning to pull back on spending. Oil prices have dropped around 30 percent since summer highs, raising fears among producers across the globe. Yet, many oil majors are relatively diversified, with large holdings downstream. Steep declines in oil prices may hurt their production sectors, but with lower priced oil as an input, big oil’s refining assets become more profitable.

2014 91

The Real Reason for USA based Economic Recessions.

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The True Cause of Recessions: OIL. I was asked to speak about the economic impact of our oil dependency and so I began researching this topic to see if I could draw some insightful conclusions. There have been 5 recession since then until now and I wanted to see if Oil had anything to do with them, because deep in my heart, I knew the most recent recession was directly caused by the oil price spikes that started in 2007 and peaked in 2008.

USA 153

Opinion: How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

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With its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, one of the mandates of 12-member OPEC is to “ensure the stabilization of oil markets in order to secure an efficient, economic and regular supply of petroleum to consumers, a steady income to producers, and a fair return on capital for those investing in the petroleum industry.” The EIA even predicts that OPEC’s net oil exports (excluding Iran) could fall to as low as $380 billion in 2015. The current oil price levels are nowhere near this.

2015 76

Opinion: Saudi Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide?

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In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices. In October, Saudi sources first prepared the market with statements that the country would be comfortable with oil prices as low as $80 per barrel for “a year or two.” Plunging oil prices have substantially reduced Saudi revenues.

2015 100

Opinion: OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Oil Strategy?

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Together, the three quotes provide a framework for analyzing Saudi options heading into the December 4 OPEC meeting in Vienna and its choices vis-à-vis the OPEC outsiders (all members but Saudi Arabia and its Gulf Arab allies, Kuwait, UAE, Qatar): reconciliation, separation, or divorce. If You’re a Free Range Oil Producer. Despite low oil prices, Saudi Arabia is maintaining its investment in its oil industry. Much Higher Volume and/or Much Higher Prices.

2015 79

Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. In fact, Saudis have downplayed the impact of lower prices on their country, asserting that the kingdom has the financial wherewithal to withstand lower oil prices.

2015 78

Heard At The Show: Snippets from SAE 2009 World Congress

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How did the high fuel prices impact customer behavior in 2008? A $1 change in gas prices can lead to a 4-6% shift in take rates (i.e. Alexander Edwards, President, Automotive Strategic Vision believes the exodus from full size SUVs was caused by economic caution as much as higher gas prices. Skalny, Director, US Army TARDEC shared the following insights on fuel usage within the Department of Defense (DOD): Every $10/barrel increase in oil prices adds $1.3

2009 60

Chevron leveraging information technology to optimize thermal production of heavy oil with increased recovery and reduced costs

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Chevron’s focus on optimizing the thermal management of the Kern River field has resulted in a steady drop in the steam:oil ratio (barrels steam water per barrel oil), resulting in improved economics of the field even with slowly declining production. Chevron, already the largest thermal heavy oil producer, is optimizing thermal production in heavy oil fields by leveraging information technology to improve the percentage recovery as well as the economics.

2011 85