Oil Prices Ravaged By Financial Turmoil

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Oil prices fell back suddenly over the last few trading sessions, dragged down by some forces beyond the oil market. dollar has helped drive up crude prices for weeks , but that came to an abrupt halt last week. A rebound for the greenback led to a steep decline in oil prices on Friday. At the same time, sudden turmoil in the broader financial system also bled over into the oil market. The price slide is due to a general worsening of sentiment.

IHS Markit: oil price collapse will change trajectory of North American gas supply

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The trajectory of North American gas supply is set to change radically as a result of the fall in oil prices that has occurred due to COVID-19 and the breakdown in production cooperation between OPEC and Russia, according to IHS Markit. Prior to the global pandemic, languishing North America gas demand and near-full storage was already pushing gas supply and prices to near-record lows in 2020. These smaller oil producing regions will combine to contract about 2.5

2020 190
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Report suggests low-speed electric vehicles could affect Chinese demand for gasoline and disrupt oil prices worldwide

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Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oil prices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “ Low-Speed Electric Vehicles: An Underappreciated Threat to Gasoline Demand in China and Global Oil Prices? ”

2019 270

Today’s Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020

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As oil prices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. As Saudi Arabia announces plans to slash production and move their economy away from oil dependency, many industry insiders are predicting that the now over-saturated market will reach an equilibrium with higher commodity prices by 2018 and U.S. shale production will continue to grow along with global demand.

IHS Markit says outlook for crude oil prices strengthens through 2021

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Oil markets have returned to relatively stable ground with Brent prices within a narrow $40-$45 per barrel range and could conclusively pass the $50 per barrel mark in the second half of 2021, according to Roger Diwan and the IHS Markit Energy Advisory Service. The IHS Markit Brent price outlook has been revised upward to an average price of $42.35/bbl in 2020 and $49.25/bbl in 2021—up $7.09/bbl and $5.25/bbl, respectively, from the outlook in May.

2020 174

Opinion: Why oil prices must go up

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It may be difficult to look beyond the current pricing environment for oil, but the depletion of low-cost reserves and the increasing inability to find major new discoveries ensures a future of expensive oil. While analyzing the short-term trajectory of oil prices is certainly important, it obscures the fact that over the long-term, oil exploration companies may struggle to bring new sources of supply online. Market Background Oil Opinion

The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

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Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the one hand, there is the view that the price of oil will be “ lower for longer ”, or even “ lower forever ”, as the electrification of transport will eat away at oil demand more and more while, at the same time, technological innovation ( shale in particular ) will greatly increase economically recoverable resources. Market Background Oil Opinion

2017 163

Opinion: Everyone Is Guessing When It Comes To Oil Prices

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Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oil prices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible. First there is the oil price itself. As storage begins to run out, the glut could worsen, sending prices way down.

2015 203

Increase in US rig count will not cap oil prices

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The impact of rising oil prices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oil prices. Those who study crude prices have correctly observed it was the 4 million barrels per day (b/d) increase in US LTO production that contributed greatly to the 2014 oil price collapse.

2016 150

Opinion: Consumers winning with low oil prices, for now

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Lest we be too quick to forget whence we came, America is now 9-months into lower gasoline prices, which started their swoon the week of June 30, 2015 from a lofty national average just under $3.70, tumbling almost every subsequent week before bottoming and bouncing from $2.02 Interestingly, with fuel prices lower, the Ford F-Series, Chevy Silverado and Dodge Ram trucks have been the top three selling vehicles (in that order) since September, 2014. Market Background Oil

2015 197

Opinion: The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits

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Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. US oil production has steadily lost ground over the past two quarters, with production falling more than a half million barrels per day since hitting a peak at nearly 9.7 That is not good news for oil prices.

2016 150

Will oil prices and post-pandemic hesitation hit EV sales harder than general market?

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The research firm Wood Mackenzie last Wednesday already suggested that it will—and that global sales of electric vehicles could drop 43 percent in 2020. Could the economic downturn triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic affect electric vehicle sales?

2020 134

Oil price tumbles after OPEC releases 2015 forecast

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The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC’s latest forecast. OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 Add to that a new report from the US government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA), which also cut its 2015 forecast for growth in global oil demand by 240,000 barrels per day, down to 880,000 barrels per day.

2014 183

US Shale Is Immune To An Oil Price Crash In 2017

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shale in particular—is effectively capping the oil price gains from that agreement. Four months after the OPEC/NOPEC deal took effect, oil prices dropped to the levels preceding the agreement, amid concerns over still stubbornly high inventories and rising U.S. Oil production in the Lower 48 excluding the Gulf of Mexico is expected to rise until the end of the year even if the price of oil plunges to US$40, Rystad’s analysis shows.

2017 163

$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

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OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion. Market Background Oil

2015 183

Opinion: This Is What Needs To Happen For Oil Prices To Stabilize

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On September 10 th , the EIA reported a production decline in the Lower 48—essentially shale production—of 208,000 BOPD (barrels of oil per day). That is a staggeringly enormous number, approximately 10 percent of the estimated global over-supply. Rather, Goldman Sachs was grabbing all the headlines with its $20 call on oil. Pundits will claim otherwise, suggesting that oil in the 50s or 60s will spur activity. Market Background Oil Opinion

2015 207

Strong Dollar Could Cap Oil Prices

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dollar poses an obstacle to further gains in oil prices. As Reuters points out , in dollar terms the price of Brent oil has climbed 9 percent this year, but in yuan terms oil is now nearly 14 percent more expensive. The problem for many emerging markets is that oil prices have been going up at the same time. Typically, oil prices trade inversely to the U.S. But the dollar and oil have been climbing in tandem for much of this year.

Opinion: Global Oil Supply More Fragile Than You Think

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Many oil companies had trimmed their budgets heading into 2015 to deal with lower oil prices. But the collapse of prices in July—owing to the Iran nuclear deal, an ongoing production surplus, and economic and financial concerns in Greece and China—have darkened the mood. Now a prevailing sense that oil prices may stay lower for longer has hit the markets. That brings us back to the large spending cuts the oil majors are undertaking.

2015 188

IHS Markit: global oil demand still growing in the short term despite increasing focus on EVs

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Short-term oil demand is still growing strong and will continue to do so through the end of 2020 despite the market’s increasing focus on electric vehicles and the forecasted future plateau in oil demand, according to new analysis from IHS Markit, a global business information provider. Five-year rolling aggregate global liquids demand growth. million barrels per day over the last five years, IHS Markit says in the new report from its oil markets and research team.

2018 234

IHS Markit: global commercial vehicle production to drop 22% in 2020 in wake of COVID-19

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IHS Markit is forecasting that global commercial vehicle production (GVW 4-8) volumes in 2020 compared to 2019 will be down 22% (more than 650,000 units) to 2.6 These forecasts are informed by the latest IHS Markit global economic forecast updates, which reflect a 3.0% decline in global real GDP in 2020. million units, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.

2020 177

IHS Markit: global oil production now expected to be cut by as much as 17 MMb/d in Q2 2020; the Great Shut-In

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The second quarter of 2020 will see the largest volume of liquids production cuts, including shut-in production, in the history of the oil industry, according to IHS Markit. IHS Markit now expects much as 17 MMb/d total liquids output (which includes nearly 14 MMb/d of crude oil production) to be cut or shut-in during the period between April and June 2020. The Great Shut-In, a rapid and brutal adjustment of global oil supply to a lower level of demand is underway.

2020 163

Eni report: global oil reserves and oil production up in 2018 due to US

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Eni has released the 18 th edition of the World Oil, Gas and Renewables Review , the annual statistics report on oil, natural gas and renewables sources. The first volume of the report, the World Oil Review, is devoted to oil reserves, supply, demand, trade and prices with a special focus on crude oil quality and on refining industry. In 2018, global oil reserves rose slightly (+0.4%), mainly due to growth in the US. Market Background Oil

2019 163

IEA: global energy efficiency progress drops to slowest rate since start of decade

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Energy efficiency has tremendous potential to boost economic growth and avoid greenhouse gas emissions, but the global rate of progress is slowing, according to a new report by the International Energy Agency. Global primary energy demand rose by 2.3% Primary energy intensity—an indicator of how much energy is used by the global economy—improved by just 1.2% Oil represented the largest share of final demand, at around 41%, but demand growth slowed to 1.5%

2019 150

Global Bioenergies reports first production of green isobutene at demo plant

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Global Bioenergies is now entering the final phase of demonstrating its technology for converting renewable carbon into hydrocarbons. The first trials on the demo plant in Leuna were successfully completed, within schedule, in the fall of 2016 and Global Bioenergies announced first production of green isobutene via fermentation. Global Bioenergies is partnering with Audi, earlier post.)

2016 214

Navigant forecasts global medium- and heavy-duty alt powertrain sales to exceed 820K units in 2026

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According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%. Whereas fuel cost used to be a major driver for fleet managers, the lowering of oil prices and the availability of low-cost natural gas has reduced this concern, Navigant notes.

2016 150

IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

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IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 The campaign is expected to have a long-lasting effect on premium parts/vehicle prices in China. Coupled with this, the momentum could lead to downward adjustment in premium pricing, which helps provide solid foundation for premium vehicle penetration to further increase in China in the next decade. North America continues to be an impetus to global light vehicle demand levels. Global.

2015 203

IEA: global map of oil refining and trade to be redrawn over next 5 years

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Profound shifts in the regional distribution of oil demand and supply growth will redefine the refining industry and transform global oil trade over the next five years, according to the annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released by the International Energy Agency (IEA). The MTOMR is the last in a series of medium-term forecasts that the IEA devotes to each of the four main primary energy sources: oil, gas, coal and renewable energy.

2012 220

Worldwatch Institute report finds global energy intensity increased in 2010 for second year in a row

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Global energy intensity, 1981-2010. Global energy intensity—defined as total energy consumption divided by gross world product—increased 1.35% in 2010, the second year of increases in the context of a broader trend of decline over the last 30 years, according to a new Vital Signs Online article from the Worldwatch Institute. Between 1981 and 2010, global energy intensity decreased by about 20.5%, or 0.8% Click to enlarge.

2011 214

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

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In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., Subsequently, the company used data on electricity and oil prices; government incentives; charging infrastructure; vehicle costs; and other factors to determine the business case of an electrified vehicle (HEV, PHEV, or BEV) purchase against its conventional competitor in each forecast year.

2015 150

IEA: Global oil discoveries and new projects fell to historic lows in 2016 while US shale surged; “two-speed” market

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Global oil discoveries fell to a record low in 2016 as companies continued to cut spending and conventional oil projects sanctioned were at the lowest level in more than 70 years, according to the International Energy Agency, which warned that both trends could continue this year. Oil discoveries declined to 2.4 This sharp slowdown in activity in the conventional oil sector was the result of reduced investment spending driven by low oil prices.

2017 150

Global investment in renewable power reached $270.2B in 2014, ~17% up from 2013; biofuel investment fell 8% to 10-year low

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Global investment in renewable power and fuels (excluding large hydro-electric projects) was $270.2 Additional highlights of the 9 th annual Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2015 report include: China saw by far the biggest renewable energy investments in 2014—a record $83.3 Another challenge was, at first sight, the impact of the 50%-plus collapse in the oil price in the second half of last year.

2015 219

Fossil fuel emissions expected to grow in 2010

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Tags: Global warming Green cars Latest news emissions ethanol fossil fuels fuel prices oil prices petrol prices

2010 37

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

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Global emissions of CO 2 increased by 3% last year, according to the annual report “Trends in global CO 2 emissions”, released by the EC Joint Research Centre (JRC) and the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). At 3%, the 2011 increase in global CO 2 emissions is above the past decade’s average annual increase of 2.7%. Emissions from OECD countries now account for only one third of global CO 2 emissions—the same share as that of China and India.

2012 207

Global biofuels production up 17% in 2010 to hit all-time high of 105 billion liters

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Global production of biofuels increased 17% in 2010 to reach an all-time high of 105 billion liters (28 billion gallons US), up from 90 billion liters (24 billion gallons US) in 2009. of all global fuel for road transportation—an increase from 2% in 2009, according to the report. In 2010, the United States generated 49 billion liters (13 billion gallons US), or 57% of global output, and Brazil produced 28 billion liters (7 billion gallons US), or 33% of the total.

2011 220

Pike Research forecasts global biofuels market to double by 2012 to $185.3B

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Pike Research forecasts that the global market for biofuels will more than double over the coming decade, increasing from $82.7 BGPY in 2011) would represent just 7% of the estimated global transportation fuels market in 2021. the global gasoline market will reach an estimated 375 billion gallons per year (BGPY) in 2021, while demand for diesel in ground transportation markets will reach at least 427 BGPY. growth in the global biofuels industry.

2012 219

Forecast: global spending in 2011 on advanced oil and gas exploration technologies to total $10.17 billion

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UK-based market analyst visiongain projects that global spending in 2011 on advanced oil & gas exploration technologies will total $10.17 As the need to find new oil and gas deposits increases, the exploration industry will be relentlessly driven toward the use of more advanced surveying methods, including seismic 2D, 3D and 4D imaging, Controlled Source Electromagnetics (CSEM) and Remote Sensing techniques.

2011 183

Annual global oil & gas capital expenditure to pass $1-trillion mark in 2012

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Increased activity in the Exploration and Production (E&P) sector will be the primary driver in pushing oil and gas capital expenditure (capex) to $1.039 trillion for 2012, according to the latest report by business intelligence firm GlobalData. The new report— Oil & Gas Capital Expenditure Outlook, H1 2012 —forecasts that the total oil and gas capex will increase by 13.4% North America is expected to witness the highest capex globally, with $254.3

2012 190

Navigant Research forecasts 58% growth in global biofuels consumption by 2022; biodiesel and drop-in fuels gain market share

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In a new report, “ Biofuels for Transportation Market s”, Navigant Research forecasts that global demand for biofuels in the road transportation sector will grow from representing almost 6% of the liquid fuels market in 2013 to roughly 8% by 2022. Navigant forecasts that global biofuels consumption in the road transportation sector will grow from more than 32.4 Navigant projects the global biodiesel market will grow from 6.9

2014 204

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

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The global energy map is changing significantly, according to the 2012 edition of the Internal Energy Agency’s (IEA) World Energy Outlook ( WEO-2012 ). The IEA said these changes will recast expectations about the role of different countries, regions and fuels in the global energy system over the coming decades. The report also finds that by 2035 global energy savings could be equivalent to nearly 20% of global demand in 2010. Oil demand reaches 99.7

2012 200

US EIA: US crude oil production fell by 8% in 2020, the largest annual decrease on record

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US crude oil production averaged 11.3 The production decline resulted from reduced drilling activity related to low oil prices in 2020. In January 2020, US crude oil production reached a peak of 12.8 Crude oil production in Texas averaged 4.87

Oil 244

IEA: Global CO2 emissions up by 1.0 Gt (3.2%) in 2011 to record high

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Global CO 2 emissions from fossil-fuel combustion reached a record high of 31.6 Coal accounted for 45% of total energy-related CO 2 emissions in 2011, followed by oil (35%) and natural gas (20%). The “450 Scenario” of the IEA’s World Energy Outlook 2011 , which sets out an energy pathway consistent with a 50% chance of limiting the increase in the average global temperature to 2 °C, requires CO 2 emissions to peak at 32.6

2012 203

Navigant forecasts global sales of light-duty stop-start vehicles to grow from 19M in 2015 to 59 million by 2024

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In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices.

2015 200

BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

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The research estimates that the growth of EVs will mean they represent a quarter of the cars on the road by that date, displacing 13 million barrels per day of crude oil but using 1,900 TWh of electricity. This would be equivalent to nearly 8% of global electricity demand in 2015. At the core of this forecast is the work we have done on EV battery prices.

2016 200