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EIA: At least 9 new refinery projects to come online before end of 2023 in Asia and Middle East; 2.9 MMb/d

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The new refinery projects would increase production of refined products, such as gasoline and diesel, and in turn, they might reduce the current high prices for these products. Net global capacity declined in 2021 for the first time in 30 years, according to the IEA. China’s refinery capacity is scheduled to increase significantly this year.

Asia 418
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EIA: New refineries will increase global refining capacity in 2022 and 2023; China leads

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Less petroleum demand and the associated lower petroleum product prices encouraged refinery closures, reducing global refining capacity, particularly in the United States, Europe, and Japan. The refinery’s return is likely to decrease petroleum product prices and increase supply, particularly in south and southeast Asian markets.

Global 448
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Opinion: OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Oil Strategy?

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Together, the three quotes provide a framework for analyzing Saudi options heading into the December 4 OPEC meeting in Vienna and its choices vis-à-vis the OPEC outsiders (all members but Saudi Arabia and its Gulf Arab allies, Kuwait, UAE, Qatar): reconciliation, separation, or divorce. Much Higher Volume and/or Much Higher Prices.

Oil 150
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Opinion: Is Russia Plotting To Bring Down OPEC?

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Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ). percent of GDP in 2014. Natural gas data from Gazprom). billion respectively).

Russia 150
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Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. Their share of OPEC output increased to 26.6 percent from 10.2

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Opinion: Saudi Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide?

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In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices. The Saudis obviously miscalculated the degree to which their shift would negatively impact oil prices.