Cost Of, Oil Prices and PHEV

Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 29, 2014

America’s dependence on oil ties our national and economic security to a highly-unpredictable, cartel-influenced global oil market. Diversifying the types of vehicles and fuels available to our drivers offers our city protection from often-volatile oil prices and better prepares us for the future.

Indianapolis

Indianapolis 2016 Fleet PHEV

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

Assumes there are only Internal Combustion Engines (ICEs) and Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs) available, with no Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) or pure Electric Vehicles (EVs). vehicle types (ICEs, EVs, PHEVs and HEVs). The analysis is based on central forecasts of oil price, electricity. Scenario 1. Scenario 2.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. Other AEO2013 Reference case highlights include: The Brent spot crude oil price declines from $111 per barrel (in 2011 dollars) in 2011 to $96 per barrel in 2015. quadrillion Btu in 2011 to 14.0 than in AEO2012.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Despite the expected reduction in cost of alternative technologies, the share of new car sales will remain relatively small; the influence of these technologies on overall emissions currently remains marginal. PHEVs fueled with advanced biofuels and low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC). 34 Mton CO 2 e (WTW). Roland Berger study.

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 9, 2010

PRTM believes that the worldwide tipping point in HEV, PHEV and EV acceptance, whereby these vehicles become a major part of the automotive powertrain portfolio, will likely occur in the next few years. OEMs see the strategic need to develop and offer HEV, PHEV and EV vehicles—above and beyond simply complying with regulations.

Prius

Prius Toyota PHEV Hybrid

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

NRC projections of number of PHEVs in the US light-duty fleet. Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). Click to enlarge.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2013

Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. OEMs experience a shortfall in profit margins if they sell a plug-in hybrid vehicle (PHEV) rather than a vehicle with a conventional powertrain. Source: Roland Berger.

South Korea

South Korea Sale France Plug-in

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. The aviation industry will face increased pressure to increase efficiency (because of the cost of fuel and competitive nature of the market) and reduce carbon emissions. Accenture divided the technologies into three groups: Evolutionary.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility. Vehicle technologies. The analogous progression for CO 2 emissions is less clear.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

The study found that for small and medium passenger vehicles, expected lifetime cost per kilometer for EVs is already lower than that of conventional ICE. The total cost of ownership includes the vehicle price, annual fuel and maintenance costs and insurance. Future costs have been discounted at 7%. Source: AECOM.

Australia

Australia Market Plug-in Plug

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

Although biofuels have other economic or security advantages, DOE understands that any drop-in liquid fuel will not insulate consumers from the global oil price. In addition, the application of high-performance computing (HPC) and simulations to engine design can reduce the time and cost of integrating new technologies.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g., BEVs vs. PHEVS. However, the obstacles to mass commercialization of BEVs are even greater than the obstacles for PHEVs. Recharging Infrastructure.

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 21, 2009

This project seeks to develop technologies necessary to lower the cost of roof top solar electric systems to reach grid parity. The goal is to generate solar electricity at a cost comparable to that obtained by the burning of fossil fuels. 2 million for development of flexible photovoltaics.

Michigan

Michigan Lithium Ion Energy Hybrid

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

Second, PHEVs with smaller battery packs are more likely to deliver emissions benefits and reduced gasoline consumption at lower lifetime cost compared to those with large battery packs in the short term. No EDV deployment occurs with high battery costs, low oil prices, and no CO 2 policy.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

The study, in press in the Journal of Power Sources , examines the efficiency and costs of current and future EVs, as well as their impact on electricity demand and infrastructure for generation and distribution, and thereby on GHG emissions. Derive GHG emissions and costs of charging of EVs in the 2015 Dutch context and.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

It’s interesting to speculate regarding the relative market share of the EV in relation to the PHEV. It’ll be mostly driven by the cost of gas. Pricing isn’t set. Oil vs. electrons. But Ghosn thinks rising oil prices will tilt the economics in favor of electrons. That’s a given.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Millions will plug-in their electric vehicles (EV), plug-in hybrids (PHEV) and fuel cell vehicles (FCV) at night when electricity is cheap, then plug-in during the day when energy is expensive and sell those extra electrons at a profit. Millions of EVs and PHEVs would expand the sale of electricity as an alternative to oil.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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