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KPMG survey finds global auto execs ranking fuel efficiency the top consumer priority

Fuel efficiency, safety innovation, and vehicle styling will be the three most important product issues influencing automotive consumer purchase decisions over the next five years, indicating a perceived shift in buying priorities, according to the 12th annual global automotive survey conducted by KPMG LLP.

When asked to rate the importance of product attributes to consumer purchase decisions over the next five years, “fuel efficiency” was most frequently cited in the 2011 survey (91%), followed by safety innovation (82%), vehicle styling (77%), and environmental friendliness (75%).

Safety innovation (71% in 2010) and vehicle styling (61% in 2010) were among the factors seeing the most significant increases in perceived importance compared to last year’s survey results. Consumer preferences for ergonomics and comfort, and telematics/personal assistance services also rose significantly, according to executive perceptions captured by the KPMG survey.

When asked which vehicle categories will see global sales increases over the next five years, hybrid fuel vehicles (84%) were most frequently named by the respondents, followed by electric vehicles (77%), which was a new category option in the survey this year, cars (69%), other alternative fuel vehicles (63%), basic or introduction cars (60%), cross-overs (56%), SUVs (51%), luxury vehicles (46%), small pick-up trucks (45%), minivans (41%), and large pick-up trucks (27%).

The vehicle categories seeing the most significant response increases in the 2011 survey compared with 2010 were SUVs, luxury vehicles, large pick-up trucks, and cross-overs.

Executives believe that these categories are here to stay, that consumers are drawn to them, and that success lies in competitively producing the best vehicle within each category. What we are also seeing is more optimism across the board for vehicle sales following the economic downturn.

—Betsy Meter, national audit leader for KPMG’s automotive practice

Conversely, responses for hybrid vehicles dropped in 2011, and basic/introduction cars fell more than 20 percentage points from last year. In fact, Hans Flick, national tax leader for KPMG’s automotive practice noted that executives appear to indicate that the idea of entry level cars may not have met expectations.

Investments. The 2011 KPMG survey also finds the auto industry heavily investing in future technology, new products and safety improvements. When asked where manufacturers would increase investment over the next two years, new products (97%), new powertrain technology (93%), and improvements to safety performance (87%) were the top selections.

In addition to these production-related investments, auto executives also say they will be increasing their focus on alternative fuel technologies, specifically hybrid fuel systems, battery electric power and fuel cell electric power.

Despite the apparent focus on electric power, seven in ten respondents to the KPMG survey say that the auto industry won’t be able to offer an electric vehicle that is as affordable as traditional fuel vehicles for mainstream buyers for at least four years.

When asked what the most effective ways of making electric vehicles affordable for mainstream buyers are, the most popular responses were government subsidies (38%), automakers partnering with energy providers to generate after-sales revenues on e-components (20%), and consolidation among e-car technology partners (13%).

With regard to what would happen to government subsidies for the automotive industry in their respective countries, executive were mixed. Twenty-four percent expect subsidies to increase, 34% say they will remain the same, and 43% predict a decline.

With regard to investment in global growth markets, respondents predict increased investment in China (58%), India (50%), Brazil (41%) and Russia (33%).

US automaker gains in market share. The survey also found that global execs expect US auto brands to increase market share over the next five years, spurred by product innovation, restructuring activities and continued improvement in product quality. The outlook marks a significant turnaround in their expectations from a year ago.

When asked to predict global market share winners over the next five years, Ford jumped to 43% seeing market share gains compared with 29% in 2010 and 13% in 2009.

General Motors saw the most significant climb among the respondents in this year’s survey, as 40% of executives expect its market share to increase over the next five years, up considerably from 13% in 2010 and 15% in 2009.

Chrysler also saw a double-digit increase in the number of executives predicting improvement—finishing at 24% this year versus just 7.5% in 2010.

Although US automakers saw the most significant improvement compared with 2010 survey data, executives identified Chinese brands, as well as existing global players Volkswagen (#4 in 2010), Hyundai/Kia (#2 in 2010), Indian brands (#3 in 2010) and BMW (#9 in 2010) as the top five market share winners this year. Honda ranked seventh, ahead of Ford, and Toyota ranked ninth just ahead of General Motors.

Forecast for Mergers and Acquisitions. Nearly two-thirds (64%) of the KPMG survey respondents believe the number of alliances, mergers and acquisitions during the next five years will increase for vehicle manufacturers. According to executives, the specific global drivers of the M&A activity include access to new technologies and products (88%), access to new markets and customers (88%), product portfolio diversification (79%) and potential for product synergies (77%).

Sixty-two percent also think M&A will increase for tier-one suppliers versus 71% in 2010, tier-two suppliers (47%) and dealers (46%).

KPMG interviewed 200 global executives, representing vehicle manufacturers and suppliers, from October through November. KPMG has released an annual survey of automotive executives expressing their views on the state of the industry since 1999.

KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm, is the US member firm of KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International). KPMG International’s member firms have 140,000 professionals, including more than 7,900 partners, in 146 countries.

Comments

kelly

Say, "About time - obviously, should have been DONE since 1970 US peak oil or 1973 oil embargo - makes more sense than self set pay - skip that last zero on pay/pension to show you mean it - where would car mpg be after 38 years if you had meant it - how many oil wars and lost $trillions needn't have been.."

phoenix1

Kelly, it's not quite that simple, imo. After the oil crises of the 1970s, the US made a push for efficiency. We generated so much efficiency gain (and oil supply gain) within our economy that we actually broke the cartel pricing power of OPEC and collapsed the oil market. At the time, it was actually in the best interest of global stability for the United States not to pursue fuel saving technologies.

Everything is completely different now. The US dollar is weaker than it was during the 90s. We've seen steady growth in former Eastern Bloc nations, explosive growth in China, and steady growth in India. We live in a world where there are four or five major customers, and three of them appear likely to continue exponential growth of oil consumption (China, US, and India). Now, more than ever, the US needs to signal to the oil markets that the US is dedicated to decreasing oil consumption for passenger cars and trucking so we can stop the aggressive pricing of global oil supplies.

Americans are not answering the clarion call b/c most of them have no idea what is going on. The private sector and government are strangely tacit. The green scene has no credibility b/c they've been obsessing over man-made climate change and legislation rather than public service and information distribution. I'm not sure who is left to deliver the message to the masses.

kelly

With US car executives keeping fleet averages at ~20 mpg for a hundred years, imports have only brothered with 5-10 mpg better.

The A bomb was barely a theory. When US officials/executives thought they could lose their jobs, the Manhattan Project took less than four years.

The USSR, not USA, was in space. When US officials/executives thought they could lose their jobs, we walked the moon in less than twelve years.

So US officials/auto(oil?)executives have 'done good', even for just the last thirty years? NOT a chance.

A four-year-old $5,000 flat screen TV is now $500. EVs and mpgs should have followed a lesser, but similar trend after thirty years.

HarveyD

The USA Big-3 average vehicle @ 20 mpg is one of the rare machine that has not gained efficiency in the last 100+ years.

Big-3 supporters will say that's because they have gained in speed, safety, look etc etc but the fact remains that fuel efficiency gain was about zero or almost NIL.

On the other hand, EU recent diesels have 2x to 3x the efficiency. Recent Sonata's are also twice as efficient.

The question is why others did better?

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