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New phase of globalization could undermine efforts to reduce CO2 emissions

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—Dabo Guan, professor in climate change economics at UEA’s School of International Development and co-author on both studies. The success of international climate mitigation efforts may therefore depend on curtailing growth of coal-based energy and emissions in now-industrialising and urbanising countries.

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UN Environment report says national GHG pledges only bring one-third of reductions needed for Paris Agreement

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Given currently available carbon budget estimates, the available global carbon budget for 1.5 ˚C C target is 16 to 19 GtCO 2 e, higher than previous estimates as new studies have become available. There are an estimated 6,683 operating coal-fired power plants in the world, with a combined capacity of 1,964 GW.

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International study identifies 14 key measures to reduce methane and black carbon emissions; reduction in projected global mean warming of ~0.5 °C by 2050

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Circle areas are proportional to values for (A and B) climate change, (C and D) human health (values for population over age 30), and (E and F) agriculture. Their potential climate impact was assessed by using published global warming potential (GWP) values for each pollutant affected. Source: Shindell et al. Click to enlarge.

Ozone 257
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Global CO2 emissions stalled for the third year in a row

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Emissions are increasing in other developing countries: 6% for Indonesia and Malaysia; 9% for Pakistan and 12% for the Philippines. CH 4 is mainly generated by agricultural activities, the production of coal and gas, as well as waste treatment and disposal. Also in Eurasia emissions grew in Turkey (5%) and Ukraine (8%).

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