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IEA March Oil Market Report revises 2015 demand forecast upward

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IEA raised its forecast of demand growth for all of 2015 by 75 kb/d to 1.0 expected US crude supply, raising the 2015 North American outlook. mb/d, as losses in Libya and Iraq offset higher supply from Saudi Arabia, Iran and Angola. mb/d for the first half of 2015, down from a sharp 2.2 year gains estimated at around 0.9

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The 5 Countries That Could Push Oil Prices Up

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The ‘Fragile Five’ petrostates—Iran, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria and Venezuela—continue to see supply disruption potential, with northern Iraq crude exports at risk due to an escalation of tensions between the (Kurdistan Regional Government), Baghdad and Turkey, while the United States has decertified the 2015 Iran nuclear deal,” U.S.

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US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2015, the industry did not break even. That all changed around the middle of 2015 when the most indebted and high-cost producers went out of business and consolidation began to take hold. Libya hopes to add another 300,000 bpd in output in 2017 after adding as much in 2016.

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Europe Expands Virtual Borders To Thwart Migrants

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It was after midnight in the Maltese search-and-rescue zone of the Mediterranean when a rubber boat originating from Libya carrying dozens of migrants encountered a hulking cargo ship from Madeira and a European military aircraft. But the post-2015 rules ballooned its budget. But neither the ship nor the aircraft came to the rescue.

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Platts: June OPEC output of 32.73M barrels of crude per day, highest since Aug. 2008

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million b/d, as production in Nigeria and Libya tentatively recovered along with steady increases for Saudi Arabia and Iran, according to an S&P Global Platts survey of OPEC and oil industry officials. Iran’s oil output rise has been swift since sanctions were lifted on January 16, increasing 740,000 b/d compared with December 2015.

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Strong Dollar Could Cap Oil Prices

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China’s central bank has also taken the opportunity to loosen its grip over the yuan, which will save it from having to blow huge sums of reserves to keep the currency fixed, as it did during the summer of 2015. The oil supply outages in Venezuela, Libya and Iran could yet drive oil prices much higher. Of course, the U.S.

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Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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CME Brent oil futures project continuity: as of August 18, 2015, CME Brent futures projected the price remaining below $60/bbl until June 2017. Interestingly, also, the Saudis increased their share of OPEC average daily output in the first half of 2015 over 2014 average daily volume—and their share of average daily global output.