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Despite volatility in globaloil markets, US crude oil exports reached a record high in 2020, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). As of 9 July 2021, US crude oil exports have averaged 3.00 The most recent four-week rolling average of US crude oil exports reached 3.51
The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC’s latest forecast. OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9
IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 For the APAC region in 2015, IHS forecasts that China’s economic growth will decelerate further, to 6.5% However, IHS Automotive analysts still expect light vehicle sales in China to grow by 7% in 2015 to 25.2 million, an increase of 2.4%
Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oilprices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.
Pike Research forecasts that the global market for biofuels will more than double over the coming decade, increasing from $82.7 BGPY in 2011) would represent just 7% of the estimated global transportation fuels market in 2021. The Americas are projected to account for 71% of global biofuels production. billion in 2011 to $185.3
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oilprice is heading. In fact, we have been highlighting this threat to the energy industry in articles since 2015, for example here , here , here and here.) Why an oilprice spike would be bad for the industry. Since (non-U.S.
Previous models have treated oil producers’ carbon footprint as if all barrels of oil are exactly the same, but with novel extraction technologies there is a great deal of variability in the globaloil supply. It’s complex, and it’s not linear. Our model takes that into consideration. —Mohammad Masnadi.
Many oil companies had trimmed their budgets heading into 2015 to deal with lower oilprices. But the collapse of prices in July—owing to the Iran nuclear deal, an ongoing production surplus, and economic and financial concerns in Greece and China—have darkened the mood. told the WSJ. “
World markets for petroleum and other liquid fuels have entered a period of dynamic change in both supply and demand, the EIA noted, leading to its reassessment of its outlook for long-term global liquid fuels markets in IEO2014. Rising world oilprices attract investment in areas previously considered uneconomic.
Oilprices appear to be stuck in the $50s per barrel, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t serious supply risks to the market. An unexpected disruption could occur at any moment, as has happened in the past, leading to a sudden and sharp jump in prices. mb/d as recently as 2015. by Nick Cunningham for Oilprice.com.
Oilprices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. million barrels per day (mb/d) in April 2015.
Despite brash statements by US producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oilprices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oilprices as the world production surplus continues. Global Supply and Demand Fundamentals Continue to Worsen.
Higher crude prices and continued optimization improvements have driven the first upward revision to the S&P Global Commodity Insights 10-year oil sands production outlook in more than half a decade. Higher oilprices have driven record returns for the Canadian oil sands.
The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oilprices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.
The impact of rising oilprices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oilprices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.
Lest we be too quick to forget whence we came, America is now 9-months into lower gasoline prices, which started their swoon the week of June 30, 2015 from a lofty national average just under $3.70, tumbling almost every subsequent week before bottoming and bouncing from $2.02 the end of January, according to gasbuddy.com.
In its new Natural Gas Vehicles report, Navigant Research forecasts that global annual NGV sales—light-, medium- and heavy-duty—will grow 62.5% million vehicles in 2015 to 3.9 between 2015 and 2025. However, the collapse in globaloilprices has eroded a significant portion of the natural gas cost advantage.
Pike forecasts that the global market for biofuels will increase from $82.7 between 2017 and 2021, as a combination of higher oilprices, emerging mandate. Pike projects that the Americas will account for 71% of global biofuels production. billion in 2011 to $185.3 billion by 2021. A more robust growth is expected.
With the recently concluded nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 countries, oilprices have already started heading downward on sentiments that Iran’s crude oil supply would further contribute to the already rising global supply glut. oil sector is likely to witness a lot more layoffs than we have seen so far?
This would be almost 90 times the equivalent figure for 2015, when EV sales are estimated to have been 462,000, some 60% up on 2014. The research estimates that the growth of EVs will mean they represent a quarter of the cars on the road by that date, displacing 13 million barrels per day of crude oil but using 1,900 TWh of electricity.
The global energy map is changing significantly, according to the 2012 edition of the Internal Energy Agency’s (IEA) World Energy Outlook ( WEO-2012 ). The IEA said these changes will recast expectations about the role of different countries, regions and fuels in the global energy system over the coming decades.
The US Department of Energy (DOE) has released One Million Electric Vehicles by 2015 , a short status report on advances in deployment and progress to date in meeting President Obama’s goal of putting one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) on the road by 2015. Estimated US supply of PEVs from 2011-2015. Ford Focus EV.
Global investment in renewable power and fuels (excluding large hydro-electric projects) was $270.2 Additional highlights of the 9 th annual Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2015 report include: China saw by far the biggest renewable energy investments in 2014—a record $83.3 billion, up 39% from 2013.
Over the same period, energy intensity, a key measure of energy use per unit of economic output, is set to improve globally led by rapid efficiency gains in the same non-OECD economies, under these projections. OECD oil demand peaked in 2005 and in 2030 is projected to be roughly back at its level in 1990. The net growth of 16.5
Russia’s central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads in the European market amid the oilprice downturn.
In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0 vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6
In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices.
Energy efficiency has tremendous potential to boost economic growth and avoid greenhouse gas emissions, but the global rate of progress is slowing, according to a new report by the International Energy Agency. Global primary energy demand rose by 2.3% Global primary energy demand rose by 2.3% This was slower than the 1.7%
According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%. Medium- and heavy-trucks represent 4.3% of vehicles in the US, drive 9.3%
The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. With greater U.S.
Royal Dutch Shell plc will not continue construction of the 80,000 barrel per day Carmon Creek thermal in situ oil sands project located in Alberta, Canada. This decision reflects current uncertainties, including the lack of infrastructure to move Canadian crude oil to global commodity markets.
Oil production capacity is surging in the United States and several other countries at such a fast pace that globaloil output capacity could grow by nearly 20% from the current 93 million barrels per day to 110.6 Such an increase in capacity could prompt a plunge or even a collapse in oilprices, he suggests.
This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oilprice forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks. shale production, new oil discoveries, and new project start-ups also differ a lot. shale output. million bpd.
” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oilprices in the $90/bbl region. Click to enlarge. gallon gasoline.
We are a little more than a month away from OPEC’s next meeting, which will be held in Vienna on December 4, 2015. OPEC altered the course of the oil markets last year when it decided to cast aside its traditional role of maintaining balance through production cuts. Oilprices will rise over the next year or so as U.S.
OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oilprices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. percent in 1H 2015. percent.
Total globaloil production could decline for the next several years in a row as scarce new sources of supply come online. According to data from Rystad Energy, overall globaloil output will fall this year as natural depletion overwhelms all new sources of supply. When oilprices go up, people buy fuel efficient cars.
Globaloil discoveries fell to a record low in 2016 as companies continued to cut spending and conventional oil projects sanctioned were at the lowest level in more than 70 years, according to the International Energy Agency, which warned that both trends could continue this year. Oil discoveries declined to 2.4
Going from nearly 2 million barrels per day annual growth in 2018, an all-time global record, to essentially no growth by 2021 makes it pretty clear that this is a new era of moderation for shale producers. It all represents the strongest headwinds for shale producers since the oilprice collapse in 2015.
A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower globaloilprices.
The EIA even predicts that OPEC’s net oil exports (excluding Iran) could fall to as low as $380 billion in 2015. Iran is all set to pump close to 300 million barrels of crude into the market, thereby kickstarting another potential decline in oilprices. It also has the fifth largest proven crude oil reserves in the world.
OPEC’s coordinated effort to curtail global supply has so far managed to put a floor under oilprices, which have been sitting modestly above US$50 since the deal was announced at the end of November last year. Analysts and experts are now mostly predicting that oilprices will remain below US$60 this year.
In January 2015 Sasol announced it was delaying a final investment decision on the proposed project near Lake Charles, Louisiana to conserve cash in response to lower oilprices. Sasol has also decided not to invest in any additional crude oil refining capacity. —Stephen Cornell.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) last week launched the 2011 edition of the World Energy Outlook (WEO), the current edition of its annual flagship publication assessing the threats and opportunities facing the global energy system out to 2035. While there is still time to act, the window of opportunity is closing. —WEO 2011.
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