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Opinion: Oil Price War May Benefit both US Shale and Saudi Arabia

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Is this a relatively short term event like 2008, or a longer term slump like the one in the mid 1980’s? The US shale oil industry faces an implacable foe in the current crisis: Saudi Arabia. In the end, who will win the oil price battle, Saudi Arabia or US capitalism and shale producers?

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Platts: June OPEC output of 32.73M barrels of crude per day, highest since Aug. 2008

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million b/d, as production in Nigeria and Libya tentatively recovered along with steady increases for Saudi Arabia and Iran, according to an S&P Global Platts survey of OPEC and oil industry officials. The bloc’s top producer, Saudi Arabia, increased its output further to produce an average 10.33 million b/d.

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EIA: nearly 69% of US crude oil imports in 2011 originated from 5 countries; Canada alone accounted for 25%

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The amount of crude oil the United States imported from its top five foreign suppliers—Canada, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela, and Nigeria—increased slightly during 2011, even though total US crude oil imports fell to their lowest level in 12 years, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Saudi Arabia.

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EIA: Top 5 US crude oil suppliers account for 72% of total crude imports; highest proportion since 1997

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Crude oil imports from the top five foreign suppliers to the United States—which in 2012 were Canada, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela, and Iraq, in that order—accounted for almost 72% of total US net crude oil imports, the highest proportion since 1997, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Opinion: Global Oil Supply More Fragile Than You Think

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One other factor that could tighten oil markets over the long-term is the fact that Saudi Arabia has churned through much of its spare capacity. As one of the only countries that can ramp up latent oil capacity within just a few weeks, Saudi Arabia’s spare capacity is crucial to world oil market stability.

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WRI: global oil consumption hits all-time high

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between 2008 and 2009 due to the global financial crisis, global oil consumption recovered by 3.1% has taken the top producing spot from Saudi Arabia in the last two years. After falling 1.5% in 2010 to reach an all-time high of 87.4 increase more than makes up for the brief decline in consumption caused by the economic crisis.

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Repsol and Alliance Oil to form an exploration and production JV in Russia

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Russia was the largest producer of crude oil in 2009, surpassing Saudi Arabia.). Repsol already owns a 3.47% stake in Alliance Oil resulting from the merger between Alliance Oil and West Siberian Resources in 2008. Repsol also owns a 74.9%

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